FanBoardHQ

Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech University · 2023 · Conference USA

FanBoardHQ CFP
#126
Efficiency
-18.0
124th FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
2-6
Conf. finish
T-6th
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Louisiana Tech went 3-9 and was ranked 126th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 100th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 130th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 54% of offensive plays with a 95th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 122nd-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-2
Q4
3-5

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
124th
-6.8 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
108th
full season
108th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
99th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs FIUConference USA#123W 2217+7.7100%-20.5Q4
1@ SMUAmerican Athletic#31L 1438-30.90%-25.4Q1
2vs Northwestern StateSouthlandW 5121+20.1100%-11.2Q4
3vs North TexasAmerican Athletic#99L 3740-4.40%-16.1Q4
4@ NebraskaBig Ten#79L 1428-20.50%-15.1Q3
5@ UTEPConference USA#121W 2410-5.8100%5.9Q4
6vs Western KentuckyConference USA#69L 2835-11.60%-14.9Q4
7@ Middle TennesseeConference USA#105L 2331-12.10%-13.6Q4
9vs New Mexico StateConference USA#65L 2427-10.90%-11.8Q4
10@ LibertyConference USA#23L 3056-29.70%-20.6Q2
11vs Sam HoustonConference USA#118L 2742-1.80%-32.4Q4
12@ Jacksonville StateConference USA#62L 1756-17.70%-40.6Q3

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Louisiana Tech, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-36.8-17.3+2.2-25-11-16-156-15-14-12-21-32-41Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 95th
SR 96thYPP 75thEPA 104th
RushingEff 122nd
SR 115thYPP 120thEPA 124th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 99th
SR 60thYPP 102ndEPA 112th
Rush defenseEff 130th
SR 115thYPP 130thEPA 132nd
Dropback rate 54%Tempo -3.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 87th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 43%2nd · Defense allowed: 38%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 33%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 44%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 47.0Q1 · Allowed: 104.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 88.0Q2 · Allowed: 127.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 76.0Q3 · Allowed: 87.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 83.0Q4 · Allowed: 62.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledLouisiana TechOffenseDefense
Louisiana Tech Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 100th
-5.4
Field position: -1.7Finishing drives: -3.6
Field position -1.7Finishing drives -3.6= -5.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 120th · Finishing 95th

Defensive EffRanked 130th
-12.6
Field position: -1.3Finishing drives: -11.3
Field position -1.3Finishing drives -11.3= -12.6
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 108th · Finishing 130th

2.00 points per drive on offense, 2.57 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(188)53% / 47%35%5.2
Q2(197)53% / 47%48%6.3
Q3(181)56% / 44%43%6.5
Q4(213)60% / 40%38%5.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(181)10.151%7.9
2nd(144)8.938%6.0
3rd(92)8.425%5.5
4th(16)4.344%5.0
All (433)41%6.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(163)9.836%4.9
2nd(114)7.250%5.1
3rd(56)6.639%3.6
4th(13)1.254%2.7
All (346)42%4.7

Louisiana Tech, all games.